Looking Ahead
Ordinarily my crystal ball doesn't work very effectively, but I can guess at a few things with some degree of confidence:
1. The Israeli Government of Ehud Olmert will fall, either through a confidence vote, scandal or the withdrawal of a member of the governing coalition. Either way, the Kadima Party's days in power are numbered.
2. There is a high probability that the Likud Party will regain power, selling itself as the party capable of restoring Israel's military and effecting a "true victory" over Hizbollah. Apparently, years of shooting twelve year olds with slings and stones didn't prepare the IDF for an enemy that was well-equipped, well-trained, and motivated (not to mention deeply entrenched).
3. There is a possibility (confidence level only so-so) that the Republican majorities in the House and Senate will be overturned and replaced by Democratic majorities. If there is such a turnaround, I expect that we will have a troop withdrawal scheme in place before mid-2007. I also expect the first of many investigations into the Bush Administration and those that Constitutional scholar Lawrence Tribe said had "Constitutional blood on their hands."
4. I do not expect the al-Maliki government in Iraq to survive for very long. Internal pressures are increasing within the cabinet and parliament as the sectarian violence escalates. Voices are already being heard talking about the partition of the country, after all. If the security forces suddenly start choosing up sides and the government collapses, the American armed forces will be faced with the need to make a fighting withdrawal to Kuwait.
5. We may not attack Iran, although Dick Cheney and certain other co-conspirators are cooking the books in a feverish attempt to make Iran the latest Iraq. The military options include the use of tactical nuclear weaponry, which would be regarded as final and convincing proof that our government's leaders have gone absolutely crazy-8 bonkers ga-ga insane.
6. I can not see far enough ahead to state with any degree of certainty whether or not George Bush will voluntarily leave his office at the end of his second term. Under the shadow government plans worked out in the 80s, all it would take to declare martial law and suspend the Constitution is either wide-scale civil unrest or a major terrorist attack. Scary stuff, huh?
7. Some people are suggesting that the world will end on August 22nd of this year, either due to the change of the Great Mayan Year Cycle or the commemoration of the Islamic Night of Nights. I, however, plan on going to work on the 23rd, laughing quietly to myself.
1. The Israeli Government of Ehud Olmert will fall, either through a confidence vote, scandal or the withdrawal of a member of the governing coalition. Either way, the Kadima Party's days in power are numbered.
2. There is a high probability that the Likud Party will regain power, selling itself as the party capable of restoring Israel's military and effecting a "true victory" over Hizbollah. Apparently, years of shooting twelve year olds with slings and stones didn't prepare the IDF for an enemy that was well-equipped, well-trained, and motivated (not to mention deeply entrenched).
3. There is a possibility (confidence level only so-so) that the Republican majorities in the House and Senate will be overturned and replaced by Democratic majorities. If there is such a turnaround, I expect that we will have a troop withdrawal scheme in place before mid-2007. I also expect the first of many investigations into the Bush Administration and those that Constitutional scholar Lawrence Tribe said had "Constitutional blood on their hands."
4. I do not expect the al-Maliki government in Iraq to survive for very long. Internal pressures are increasing within the cabinet and parliament as the sectarian violence escalates. Voices are already being heard talking about the partition of the country, after all. If the security forces suddenly start choosing up sides and the government collapses, the American armed forces will be faced with the need to make a fighting withdrawal to Kuwait.
5. We may not attack Iran, although Dick Cheney and certain other co-conspirators are cooking the books in a feverish attempt to make Iran the latest Iraq. The military options include the use of tactical nuclear weaponry, which would be regarded as final and convincing proof that our government's leaders have gone absolutely crazy-8 bonkers ga-ga insane.
6. I can not see far enough ahead to state with any degree of certainty whether or not George Bush will voluntarily leave his office at the end of his second term. Under the shadow government plans worked out in the 80s, all it would take to declare martial law and suspend the Constitution is either wide-scale civil unrest or a major terrorist attack. Scary stuff, huh?
7. Some people are suggesting that the world will end on August 22nd of this year, either due to the change of the Great Mayan Year Cycle or the commemoration of the Islamic Night of Nights. I, however, plan on going to work on the 23rd, laughing quietly to myself.
posted by Walt at 8:55 AM
1 Comments:
I think your vision is pretty clear on all these points. Wonder where we can get a road map to peace?
The part about bush not leaving office doesn't worry me as much as it once did. I think he would love to walk away now if he could. It's gotta be tuff even for him, to know that most of the world hates your freakin' guts, but you still have to go on camera and try to pretend you haven't made a mistake, ever.
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